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Wednesday, November 7, 2012

What Does 4 More Years Mean For Pres. Obama?

President Barack Obama , joined by  his wife Michelle, Vice President Joe Biden and his spouse  Jill acknowledge applause  after Obama delivered his victory speech to supporters gathered in Chicago early Wednesday morning. (AP Photo/Jerome Delay)

President Barack Obama , joined by his wife Michelle, Vice President Joe Biden and his spouse Jill acknowledge applause after Obama delivered his victory speech to supporters gathered in Chicago early Wednesday morning. (AP Photo/Jerome Delay)

President Barack Obama’s re-election, coupled with Republicans’ continued hold on the House, gives both parties a chance to rethink, and perhaps undo, the bitter partisanship that has gripped Washington for four years and frustrated Americans who see big problems going unsolved.

It won’t be easy. Both sides claim, with some justification, a mandate from the voters.

“We’ll have as much of a mandate as he will,” House Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio, said shortly before the election, correctly anticipating the results.

Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell was frostier in his post-election remarks. “The voters have not endorsed the failures or excesses of the president’s first term,” McConnell said.

“Now it’s time for the president to propose solutions that actually have a chance of passing the Republican-controlled House,” he said, “and deliver in a way that he did not in his first four years in office.”

After three straight swing elections, Americans decided to keep Obama in the White House, leave Republicans in control of the House and let Democrats stay atop the Senate, with Republicans still able to block measures with filibusters.

There’s an irony, or self-flagellation, there. Americans express exasperation at the partisan sniping and gridlock that pushed the nation to the brink of defaulting on its loans last year, and which might trigger new crises soon. The narrowness of Obama’s win accurately reflects the nation’s nearly 50-50 partisan divide. It’s a split that will make progress on any major issues difficult for at least another two years, and probably longer.

Every newly elected president claims a mandate, and Obama can point to the roughly $1 billion that Mitt Romney and his GOP allies spent trying to oust him. Yet, for all its tactical brilliance, Obama’s campaign was built on relatively modest ideas. It focused on helping the middle class, which is a coalition of identity, not ideology.

It may have been a status quo election. But if the White House and congressional Republicans simply stand their ground on taxes and other issues, they run risks – not just for the nation’s well-being, but also for the legacies of a barrier-breaking president and a Republican Party that has tapped a deep vein of conservative, almost libertarian emotion.

In many ways, of course, Obama’s place in history is assured. The first black to be elected president has now joined eight other men who, since 1900, won the office more than once. His biggest first-term achievement – the “Obamacare” health delivery overhaul – is safe from repeal by a President Mitt Romney.

Obama’s other top goals, however, were largely thwarted by a united Republican Party that fought him at almost every turn. Republicans provided not a single House or Senate vote for the health care law. They beat back his efforts to end the Bush-era tax cuts for the wealthiest households.

Obama offered an olive branch in his victory speech early Wednesday. “In the coming weeks and months, I am looking forward to reaching out and working with leaders of both parties to meet the challenges we can only solve together,” he said.

Republican leaders announced four years ago that their top goal was to deny Obama a second term. On Tuesday, they lost, even though the nation’s high unemployment seemed to make Obama ripe for defeat. Some, perhaps much, of Romney’s loss will be traced to Americans’ discontent with an opposition party that refused to compromise on big issues even when it’s obvious that neither party can get everything it wants.

Boehner, Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell and other GOP officials now must decide where to bend and where to keep standing firm. They’ll have to tip their hand soon. A package of huge tax hikes and spending cuts – known as the “fiscal cliff,” and which both parties deeply dislike – is scheduled to take effect in the new year.

So far, Republicans have adamantly refused to raise taxes, even on the richest Americans, as part of a deficit-reduction package. Obama and other Democrats say such tax hikes must be part of the deal. They will point to Tuesday’s election as validation. Boehner will point to his sustained majority.

Democrats think Obama learned some hard lessons in his first four years, including a realization that he must get deeply involved in the sometimes unpleasant business of crafting and negotiating legislation.

“The American people have made it pretty clear that they are sick of gridlock and fighting,” said Jim Manley, a former Democratic Senate aide. Boehner and McConnell, he said, “have figured out that the tea party has done enormous damage to their brand, to say nothing about the economy, and that something has to change.”

At the same time, Manley said, “the president is going to have to play a more forceful role in the legislative process.”

Obama signaled some of his second-term goals in a recent Des Moines Register interview. The fiscal cliff’s economic threat is so severe, he said, that a congressional compromise is likely.

“It will probably be messy,” the president said. “But I am absolutely confident that we can get what is the equivalent of the grand bargain that essentially I’ve been offering to the Republicans.” It calls for $2.50 in spending cuts for every $1 in new revenue.

“The second thing I’m confident we’ll get done next year is immigration reform,” he said. Perhaps. Or it could prove as difficult as President George W. Bush’s bid to partly privatize Social Security right after his re-election.

In recent years, the very idea of bipartisan compromise has come under growing attack, as Americans got fed up with soaring deficits, longstanding threats to Medicare and other problems left unresolved by Congress’ old practices. The anger gave birth to the tea party, which boosted candidates who vow not to compromise if they reach Washington.

Passion and ideology drive the tea party. Congressional leaders, historically, are realists. They keep their committee chairmanships and party leadership posts by constantly monitoring the moods and needs of their rank-and-file colleagues.

Some Washington veterans say Boehner is posturing when he claims that his party won as big a mandate as Obama did. When Republicans see that the no-new-taxes argument lost Tuesday, Boehner “is certain to come to the table to begin to deal,” said Matt Bennett of the Democratic-leaning think tank Third Way.

“Boehner and McConnell surely know that they cannot continue to be pure obstructionists and that the economic consequences of going over the fiscal cliff would be extreme,” Bennett said. But it’s not clear they can control their caucuses, he said.

Indeed, the GOP is surely about to engage in some intense self-examination and infighting.

John Feehery, a former top House Republican aide, said Obama’s re-election may give the White House less clout than Democratic insiders think.

“Republicans will feel they have just as big a mandate as the president,” Feehery said. It’s possible that Boehner and Senate Democratic leader Harry Reid of Nevada “will do the deals and put Obama on mute,” he said.

Reid, at least for now, sounds upbeat and bipartisan.

“Democrats and Republicans must come together, and show that we are up to the challenge” of tackling big problems, Reid said after the election was called. “This is no time for excuses.”

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  • Alfred

    For $2+ billion the people didn’t get much.
    Expect more “hope, change and transparency” from this stooge. 

  • Lewie

    And your winner of the 2012 presidential elections—your international banksters who control the flow of money. The Status Quo continues uninterrupted and they will continue to pursue the 3 “P’s” of POWER, POSITION and PELF.
    Give me control of a nation’s money and I care not who makes her laws.Mayer Amschel Rothschild
    The more corrupt the state, the more numerous its laws. Cornelius Tacitus

  • Thinkin5

    This whining that Obama attacked Mitt by the right is just absurd! That was the whole campaign from the right against Obama. It started from the day he took office and it was deeply personal. Never have I seen such insulting personal attacks on a candidate. I was insulted as well. The president never stooped to that low level.

  • Rzeleniak

    Robin, I’m glad you are balanced in your approach regarding the negative tone of the campaign. Clearly, Romney was very aggressive in attacking Obama with many questionable assertions like Jeep moving to China, etc. Great job!

    • Clara

      Sorry Rzeleniak, looks like the media did its job in indoctrinating and brainwashing you of Obummer and RoMoney.
      Both are useless. Both are puppets for their Globalist masters.
      Wake up Rzeleniak and educate yourself from sources other than the crap the mainstream media is feeding you.
      Its shows.

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100002355053321 Ping Eye Hacker

    “For $2+ billion the people didn’t get much.
    Expect more “hope, change and transparency” from this stooge. ”

    1. You can thank your right-wing SCOTUS for the $2 billion
    2. Yeah, and we can expect more hateful stonewalling from the useless GOP on congress in useless people like McConnell and Cantor. 

  • Rick Chirlin

    I find it rich listening to the GOP complain as Barack followed Karl Rove’s playbook from 2004 in defining Romney and going very negative during the summer.  As a life long Kennedy liberal, it’s fun to see Democrats who are willing to play brass knuckles for a change and not allowing the GOP to “eat our lunch” time after time. 

    • Thinkin5

       The Dems did it better too. They didn’t have to make crap up about Mitt because there was plenty of true quotes, in context, to hammer home to the voters that Mitt was not the kind of character that would be good for this country.

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100003000884786 Navin R Johnson

    The sense of schadenfreude I feel right now when listening to the disillusioned Republican whiners warms my heart.  I hope all the Obama Haters feel worse than I did when W was re-elected, but I doubt that is possible.

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_Y6CO5C2HE4WM2OYGCDVWGPRXXM oldman

    The problem with the Republican party is that they’ve moved so far to the right they no longer overlap with moderates. They also pullled the Democrats to the right – but in doing so pulled them further in line with moderates.

    Nothing showed this more than how much Romney had to slide to the right in the primaries – and then slide way to the left during the general election.

  • guest33

    The “UGLY” in this election was not just about negative ads. It was, to me, in the unprecedented attempts at voter suppression (which IS voter fraud, I believe), and the long buildup to having things and elected officials in place in many states in order to make that happen. It was the dark money, the sanctioning of lies and dirty tricks, primarily on the behalf of the GOP. It was the open disrespect for Barack Obama as our President, which trickled down the line to Democrats in general. It was the religious right leaders preaching who and what to vote for, casting their televised shows as “news”,  and preaching hate towards not just individual politicians, but groups of citizens. And it was in the way it has all worked to tear apart communities and even families.

    I am certain that these tactics will prevail, and will rear their ugly heads in the future.

  • iris97

    There was a recent poll showing that negative attitudes had increased towards African Americans. Thank goodness this attitude did not prevail in the election

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_Y6CO5C2HE4WM2OYGCDVWGPRXXM oldman

    I wonder if dysfunction in Congress is not a problem, but rather a goal. The current system seems to work so well to trounce anything the people might want them to do, but allows what the lobbyists and 1% want to sail right through.

  • for Obama in Indiana

    My husband and I watched, in Indiana,  the election results come in last night, with bated breath, and when President Obama won a second term, we stood up and applauded and cheered and hugged each other with relief.  We are both middle-aged white voters in a red state.  We also picked up a Democratic senate seat, and watched many democratic senators that we were rooting for across the country win their seats.  We are both elated today.

  • It

    President Obama did a good job of getting reelected. He bought Ohio with the auto bail out. He bought the latino vote by doing nothing to stop illegal imagation. They even threw in that Biden “slip” on gay marriage for good measure (now that was a slick play). With the liberal media like Here and Now’s help in hiding the truth on things like the economy and Benghazi and then hammering Mitt, the Democrat machine won another.

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Robin Young and Jeremy Hobson host Here & Now, a live two-hour production of NPR and WBUR Boston.

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